How To Find and Make a Good Deal in Tough Times
Whether you believe we're in a recession or simply a slow economy, the news hasn't been good. The housing debacle, credit crunch and tumbling dollar mean many consumers have a hard time making car payments and paying for fuel. As a result, more people need to get out of their car lease early, delay buying a new car, or buy a used car instead of a new one. And with gas prices near $4 per gallon, there will be more demand (and probably fewer deals) for compact and hybrid vehicles.
Automakers are also tightening their belts, closing dealerships, eliminating "twinned" vehicles and carrying some of their lowest inventory levels since 2002. That translates to less selection on the car lot.
So consumers are caught in a tug of war: Car dealers, most of whom already are facing hard times, need to increase their profitability — just as car buyers are trying to spend less. This affects the entire car-buying process, from vehicle availability to new car financing and incentives to lease deals and the price of used cars. Here's what you can expect and how to best take advantage of the slow economy's impact.
Financing Your New Car
Historically, automakers and dealers have pumped up sales with financial incentives, and this slow economy is no exception. Expect to see higher cash rebates (manufacturer-to-customer and possibly dealer-to-customer), and more zero-percent financing and low APR programs, particularly from domestic automakers.
While such auto incentives used to blanket an entire brand, this time around expect automakers to cherry-pick which models get big incentives. Understandably, the biggest discounts will be on large, gas-guzzling trucks and SUVs. Incentives will also vary from one geographic region to another depending on vehicle demand.
Rules of thumb for auto incentives:
* Unless there's a zero-percent program or the interest rate is less than the prime rate, keep your term as short as possible. To help decide which program is better for you, use our Low APR vs. Cash Back calculator or this basic rule of thumb: If you'll keep your car three years or less, take the cash. Four years or more, take the low APR.
* If you're considering switching brands, ask the sales manager (not just the salesperson) about any "conquest" rebates. This can mean up to $1,500 toward sweetening the deal.
* Beware of the six- and seven-year car loans that are trickling down from very expensive brands to more mainstream ones, such as
* Unless your credit is good, be prepared to put down a larger down payment or look for a used car instead. It's more difficult than before for folks with below-average credit to find car financing, as banks and finance companies are tightening their standards.
Car Leasing
As a countermeasure against falling residual values, a number of manufacturers have overhauled their leasing programs. So if you leased in the past, the same rules may not apply. Additionally, many lease payments will be so high that consumers will have no choice but to go to a less expensive vehicle — one they can actually afford.
In addition, keep the following advice in mind as you shop for a new lease:
* Credit requirements will be tighter. In some cases, only people with the best credit will qualify for manufacturers' leases.
* Dealers will urge people to buy rather than lease and extend the loan terms to 60, 72 and even 84 months. (Warning: This results in more "upside-down" buyers and more buyers will carry negative equity from one car loan to another.)
* The higher payment might still make sense if you can take the tax write-off as a business deduction.
* Check several banks, smaller leasing companies or your credit union for a good lease. (Our financing tab will help you get rates from different companies.)
* If it suits your needs, look to foreign automakers, whose lease programs are stronger.
* Consumers looking to take over someone else's lease can visit Lease Trader or Swapalease.
* Buying looks better than ever, especially with dramatic incentives in both cash and financing.
* Carmakers will offer low-interest financing to try to match low lease payments of the past.
Used Cars Are Affected, Too
As the amount of money in consumers' pockets goes down, people who cannot afford the new car they want will look at less expensive new models, but will consider used cars as well — possibly for the first time. Say you're a Ford guy with your heart set on an Explorer, but you can't afford a new one. You could consider an Escape, or you could simply buy a used late-model Explorer instead.
This means that older cars that are "clean" — in good condition — will hold their value and depreciate less quickly. For example, a very clean eight-year-old Honda Accord with 60,000 miles may cost a few hundred dollars more than it used to, as consumers compete for reliable (and fuel-efficient) vehicles.
Rules of thumb:
* There is a silver lining: If you currently own a good car, it will retain its value better than before the economic slowdown when you sell or trade it. Use Edmunds' Used Car Appraiser to learn your car's True Market Value® (TMV®) so you can hold out for the right price.
* If your current car is still under warranty and in very good condition, dealers will want it for their Certified Pre-Owned (CPO) programs.
* More CPO cars will be available on dealer lots. They cost up to $1,500 more than the same car without certification, but offer peace of mind and longer warranties.
* Compact vehicles will hold their value better overall, as people start realizing the cost of all that horsepower. Ask yourself if you really need a V6 when a four-cylinder engine will do the same job.
So Where Are the Deals?
If you do nothing else before buying a new car, at least check the latest auto Incentives and Rebates and Deals of the Month for a head start. Remember, there are always bargains to be had, even in tough economic times.
For new cars:
* Look again at larger vehicles. If you don't put a lot of miles on your car each year, the discount programs on these vehicles may more than outweigh the difference you'll spend in fuel.
* Due to the weak dollar, luxury and midrange vehicles from European automakers may offer new incentives.
For used cars:
* Don't wait too long to buy: There may be less selection to choose from come summer/late summer than in years past, since people who don't have the money to buy a new car may choose to hold onto their cars longer.
In the meantime, if you do decide to hang onto your car for a while longer, make it last using our tips, "Top Five Ways to Make Your Car Run Forever."
